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Professor devises Germany's World Cup-winning formula

DDP/The Local · 8 May 2010, 14:09

Published: 08 May 2010 14:09 GMT+02:00

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"Whoever Joachim Löw takes with him, we will win the title this year, not only because a super-fit team will turn up on June 11," Professor Metin Tolan told the news agency DDP on Saturday. Tolan's total confidence is based on a formula he describes in his book The Physics of Football.

According to Tolan's analysis, Germany reached an average 3.7th place in previous World Cups. "On top of this, we always had a particularly strong team every four to five years," he added.

"According to my initial formula, we should have become world champions in 1970, 1986 and 2006, but in fact we became champions in 1974 and 1990." This led to Tolan's conclusion, "The mathematical formula of sine and cosine always predicts a World Cup victory four years too early. That is why winning the title this year is inevitable."

Tolan also had valuable advice for the German players in free-kick situations: "To achieve success - in other words, to score a goal – my calculations say the free-kick-takers must strike the ball at a point 70 percent from its centre. Most professionals achieve this through constant training," said the 44-year-old Stuttgart fan, who is donating the income from his book to physics scholarships at Dortmund's technical university.

The professor scoffed at recent surveys that predicted that Germany would not get beyond the quarter finals, pointing out that Jürgen Klinsmann's team in the 2006 World Cup were also heavily criticized before the tournament. Tolan said that those criticisms were more justified than those of the current team, but "the result was, we played a very good World Cup," he said.

Story continues below…

Löw named a preliminary squad of 27 players on Thursday, four of whom must still be eliminated.

DDP/The Local (news@thelocal.de)

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Your comments about this article

15:08 May 8, 2010 by duckys
about the like when they were suppose to win in Germany!!! HA HA HA!! I would be very surprised if they get to the tournament....:)
16:05 May 8, 2010 by berlinski
As with all German teams, through good technical organisation, good team discipline and the best of training, facilities and psychology, they will get as far as the last 4. Especially with a relatively easy group stage. When reaching the last 4, it is anybodies tournament and with a little luck, Germany have a good chance of winning.

True, Spain will most likely be the team to beat, but they often flunk it in big tournaments (Euro 2008 being the first time ever they managed not to flunk it). Brazil are not as good as past Brazil teams. Italy will be dangerous as always. England may possibly do well under Capello, Portugal, Holland and Argentina also have claims.
16:37 May 8, 2010 by Rufus
I'm married to a German so my children are half English and half German. I am praying that we, that's England, do not meet Germany in the World Cup - it's just too stressful. The kids don't know who they should be cheering for - if they support Germany, then they say they feel bad for me, even when I tell them it doesn't (really) matter! I suppose it just shows what lovely children I've got. COME ON ENGLAND!!!
17:30 May 8, 2010 by romber58
This guy maybe a Professor of Physics but that has no relevance to what he said.

Reading the article made me think that he is a lowly statistician working for an insurance company.
08:05 May 9, 2010 by kimberlyt
i love how europeans love their Fußball enough to have a professor work out the physics of the sport! i'd like to know more on how this works :)
22:13 May 9, 2010 by Logic Guy
Well, there always seems to be a surprise team in the World Cup. Perhaps it will be Germany this year.

The thing about football is that any good team can defeat a better one on a given day. Therefore, if they do make it to the semifinals, then certainly it's possible for Germany to win the World Cup.

I don't think Germany's womens team was expected to win it all, yet they did. Perhaps the mens team should look at how the women were able to prove the critics wrong.

Perhaps some very intersting irony is brewing. The womens team defeated Brazil 2-0. And now Brazil's mens team is the favorite to win the World Cup.
12:30 May 11, 2010 by lordkorner
Like Rufus above ,I'm also married to a German,however been Irish I do not have the same problems. If England win I will be happy for my Nieces living in London and happy that after all these years and the way they have played so far,they will truly deserve it ,............however one hymn sheet we are all singing from in our home is the A.B.F.,anyone but France.
13:44 May 11, 2010 by Prufrock2010
This guy's a physics professor? Someone's paying him to teach your kids?

This article has to be some sort of a joke, right?
03:34 May 15, 2010 by OldRef
Education is obviously very poor in Germany because they fail at their first hurdle, Australia!.

Go the mighty Socceroos!.
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