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ECONOMY

German bank execs called upon to contribute to bailouts

Jürgen Thumann, the president of the German Federation of Industry (BDI), called upon well-paid banking executives to contribute to the bailout of their banks if they are rescued by the government.

German bank execs called upon to contribute to bailouts
Photo: DPA

“I myself can certainly imagine the leadership of banks and financial intuitions making a personal contribution to any bailout,” he told Berlin daily Der Tagesspiegel on Thursday. “Most of them won’t come out of the financial crisis unscathed anyway. That too is a type of self-cleansing process.”

Thumann also admitted the German business community had made mistakes that aggravated the current crisis hitting global financial markets. “We were too naïve in some markets and with some projects,” he said. “Now we have to admit that we deceived ourselves at the level of risk involved.”

He said the government should increase public spending in order to lessen the impact of the financial crisis, but didn’t see the need for a separate stimulus package. But Thumann stressed that the government should not give up its long-term aim of budgetary consolidation. “You don’t have to set a specific year now for a balanced federal budget, but we can’t give up the goal entirely,” he said. “It will simply take a little longer.”

ECONOMY

German consumer prices set to rise steeply amid war in Ukraine

Russia's war in Ukraine is slowing down the economy and accelerating inflation in Germany, the Ifo Institute has claimed.

German consumer prices set to rise steeply amid war in Ukraine

According to the Munich-based economics institute, inflation is expected to rise from 5.1 to 6.1 percent in March. This would be the steepest rise in consumer prices since 1982.

Over the past few months, consumers in Germany have already had to battle with huge hikes in energy costs, fuel prices and increases in the price of other everyday commodities.

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With Russia and Ukraine representing major suppliers of wheat and grain, further price rises in the food market are also expected, putting an additional strain on tight incomes. 

At the same time, the ongoing conflict is set to put a dampener on the country’s annual growth forecasts. 

“We only expect growth of between 2.2 and 3.1 percent this year,” Ifo’s head of economic research Timo Wollmershäuser said on Wednesday. 

Due to the increase in the cost of living, consumers in Germany could lose around €6 billion in purchasing power by the end of March alone.

With public life in Germany returning to normal and manufacturers’ order books filling up, a significant rebound in the economy was expected this year. 

But the war “is dampening the economy through significantly higher commodity prices, sanctions, increasing supply bottlenecks for raw materials and intermediate products as well as increased economic uncertainty”, Wollmershäuser said.

Because of the current uncertainly, the Ifo Institute calculated two separate forecasts for the upcoming year.

In the optimistic scenario, the price of oil falls gradually from the current €101 per barrel to €82 by the end of the year, and the price of natural gas falls in parallel.

In the pessimistic scenario, the oil price rises to €140 per barrel by May and only then falls to €122 by the end of the year.

Energy costs have a particularly strong impact on private consumer spending.

They could rise between 3.7 and 5 percent, depending on the developments in Ukraine, sanctions on Russia and the German government’s ability to source its energy. 

On Wednesday, German media reported that the government was in the process of thrashing out an additional set of measures designed to support consumers with their rising energy costs.

The hotly debated measures are expected to be finalised on Wednesday evening and could include increased subsidies, a mobility allowance, a fuel rebate and a child bonus for families. 

READ ALSO: KEY POINTS: Germany’s proposals for future energy price relief

In one piece of positive news, the number of unemployed people in Germany should fall to below 2.3 million, according to the Ifo Institute.

However, short-time work, known as Kurzarbeit in German, is likely to increase significantly in the pessimistic scenario.

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