Photo: DPA

Merkel warns Germans of challenges ahead

Published: 28 Sep 09 15:29 CET
Online: http://www.thelocal.de/national/20090928-22201.html

Angela Merkel set to work Monday on a new centre-right coalition after clinching a second term, but warned Germans of a hard road ahead to revive the sickly economy and rescue jobs.

Merkel secured a new four-year mandate Sunday with election results allowing her to dump an awkward "grand coalition" with the Social Democrats (SPD) for an alliance with the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP).

"We know that we want to use this opportunity in an economically difficult time to save jobs, create new jobs and boost growth decisively," an upbeat Merkel told reporters at the headquarters of her conservative Christian Democrats (CDU) Monday.

"I am very satisfied and happy with yesterday's results and intend to start the new legislative term with full of momentum and energy."

Voters rewarded the 55-year-old leader for shepherding Europe's biggest economy through its worst downturn since World War II. The new coalition should be formed within a month.

Though Merkel savoured her election victory, daily Der Tagesspiegel said her 33.8-percent score, the conservatives' worst since 1949, marked a "black eye" for the chancellor.

Preliminary official results:

Election Results 2009

Meanwhile Die Welt hailed the election as "a success for the FDP," referring to Merkel's new partners in government, the pro-business Free Democrats, whose record 14.6 percent score tipped their centre-right coalition over the top.

Merkel's identified her "top priority" as tackling unemployment, which stands at 8.3 percent at present but is forecast to surge in the months ahead, as firms lay off workers on temporary part-time working schemes.

A poll in Focus magazine showed that unemployment was also voters' number-one issue, with 38 percent saying it was the "most important topic for the future government," ahead of education, health and the financial crisis.

Click here for The Local’s election night photo gallery.

Europe's biggest economy has been hit harder than most by the global recession, slamming demand for its all-important exports and sending the country into its steepest recession since World War II.

Output is poised to slump by five to six percent this year, the government estimates, and Germany is also sitting on a vertiginous mountain of debt.

But this time around, Forbes magazine's most powerful woman on earth will be in a different coalition, something she believes will help her implement the reforms she says are vital for lifting the economy out of its malaise.

For the past four years, her conservative CDU/CSU bloc has been stuck in a loveless "grand coalition" with the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD).

But now Merkel's bloc and the FDP have a comfortable 332 seats in the 622-member parliament.

Preliminary Bundestag seat distribution:

Election Results 2009

"Our main objective has been achieved, namely a change of government, which for me is what really counts this evening," Merkel, 55, said on public television on Sunday.

Turnout was at a record low of 70.8 percent against 77.7 percent four years ago.

The SPD with Frank-Walter Steinmeier, the outgoing foreign minister, as candidate for chancellor, crashed to 23 percent, its worst post-war result, and will be consigned to the opposition benches after more than a decade in government.

The FDP, meanwhile, returns to government after 11 years of watching proceedings from the sidelines. FDP leader Guido Westerwelle aims to become the country's first openly gay foreign minister.

He told a news conference that he would actively support US President Barack Obama's disarmament efforts and work to get Europe's top economy back on its feet with tax cuts despite mounting public debt.

"We will of course be persistent about our electoral platform in negotiations," he said.
"Fair taxes do not endanger state finances, to the contrary, they are the precondition for economic growth, jobs and indeed healthy state finances."

Leaders of both parties said they wanted to spur the economy with tax relief as soon as possible. They have also said they plan to postpone plans to abandon nuclear power by 2020.

But even assuming the new partners see eye-to-eye on all issues - anything but a foregone conclusion -Merkel's new cabinet will have its work cut out, however, even without Germany's economic woes.

The head of European economics at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Holger Schmieding, said the dawn of a new-look cabinet was "not a revolution."

"There will be no dramatic changes but there will be some tax reforms over the next four years, and there will probably be some move towards deregulation modestly in the labour market and probably some changes in the health-care system," he told AFP.

The Financial Times Deutschland agreed: "Anyone who expected or feared the chancellor will make a radical change of course with her new government is mistaken."

In the foreign policy sphere, Germany's mission in Afghanistan is highly unpopular and could become a major domestic headache for Merkel if an insurgency in the north where its 4,200 troops are based continues to escalate.

The presence of German soldiers in Afghanistan has also prompted a string of threats by Islamic extremists, including from al Qaida leader Osama bin Laden and German-born Muslims.

AFP/The Local (news@thelocal.de)

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09:05 September 28, 2009 by long-haul
Old wine, new bottle?
11:05 September 28, 2009 by Bell the cat
hmm, if Merkel is the most powerful Woman in the world at the moment, does that make Schwesterwelle the most powerful poof?
11:59 September 28, 2009 by chris999
worrying - those words remind me of Thatchers words when she first came to power!!
14:10 September 28, 2009 by romber58
Nice observation Bell the cat...the worlds most powerful poof,lol.A good comment on the fatuous, insipid use of language by hack journalists
18:15 September 28, 2009 by finanzdoktor
Geez, in office only one day, and already everyone seems to chalk this administration up to fail. How about giving them a few months to settle in and get moving? They may just surprise all of us, even me.
21:04 September 28, 2009 by romber58
Politcians come and go every 4 years,Meanwhile the business of Government is taken care of by the civil servants.They write the speeches and control the state;All that is required of the elected is that they come over good on t,v..Iafontaine has already proved this when he resigned as finance minister coz he couldnt get his way with the Beamten in his Ministry.
21:07 September 28, 2009 by KerrAvon
chris999 said: "worrying - those words remind me of Thatchers words when she first came to power!!"

Yes I see, but still slightly preferable to "things can only get better" (Tony 'Antichrist' Blair)... Must have been the most ironic political song of all time...

At least thatcher did some essential work in her first term, BEFORE she went MAD ! ...Hmm

The simple truth of the mater is that the Right tend to screw the poor, But the LEFT screw up EVERYONE / THING ! Doesn't anyone read Orwell anymore?
22:08 September 28, 2009 by Carl46
I don't know how the CSU/CDU and the FDP will work together, but it's worth a try. I also don't know how they plan to address the hopes and dreams of their parties, and the other different factions within Germany. Furthermore, I don't understand or should I say, I haven't taken the time to understand the current German political system, but I wonder, sometimes, if it would be easier just to have two or three parties to vote for during election time. I know that is a tall order, considering the wide range of political views, both positive and negative, held by the different factions living within Germany. It seems if though Germany is still trying to find its true identity.
22:38 September 28, 2009 by Frank78
but I wonder, sometimes, if it would be easier just to have two or three parties to vote for during election time.
The easiest would be just one party

Why should the number of parties being restricted in a democracy?
04:19 September 29, 2009 by danamcmahon
a new look, say the yoke around the voters neck are a germany on one side and america the other. all the parties in the german camp and those in the american camp are those said. In america where the majority of voters are undeclared, they cannot be a independent party or form a party as such. as the crow flies so does the money.
07:13 September 29, 2009 by HerrDinksbumps
CDU + FDP has been the most sensible goverment idea for Germany since I've been here(ten years..)

People expecting them to fail is actually good for them..

God what a socialist mentality here.. Utopian ideals!! All will be great!.. Egalite´, liberte´, fraternite´ bla bla bla... Yes Europe has learned from the dark history of the political right.. But somehow (I supose at the expense of?..), they have forgotten the big fat clear-as-day lessons of the history of the political left..
14:23 September 29, 2009 by kato
since I've been here(ten years..)
Which means you missed that whole desaster that was 16 years of Helmut Kohl. Or the 1983 treason by the FDP that started that one (and yes, they did call it a 'treason'/Verrat back then).
15:05 September 29, 2009 by Freising
Which means you missed that whole desaster that was 16 years of Helmut Kohl. Or the 1983 treason by the FDP that started that one (and yes, they did c…
He should at least remember the corruption, the crimes, the antisemitism ... - all (luckily for the FDP) coming to a closure with one parachute not opening in 2003.

(attached image)
15:08 September 29, 2009 by Hans321
Which means you missed that whole desaster that was 16 years of Helmut Kohl. Or the 1983 treason by the FDP that started that one (and yes, they did c…
The "they" who called it treason were just the guys who didn't approve

I mean, they went for early elections a few months later and the DCU/FDP coalition got a strong majority.
15:24 September 29, 2009 by kato
The FDP lost over 30% of its votes in that election (and 19 out of 53 seats), and there was even speculation before the end result that they could miss the 5% hurdle. The general population, and the FDP voters themselves were very much aware of the 'treason'.

And effectively, the distribution between CDU/CSU/FDP and SPD/Greens in 1983 was the same as in 1980 (if one counts the Green seats a SPD seats then), with the latter actually winning slightly more seats than in 1980.
16:25 September 29, 2009 by Hans321
Coalitions aren't an oath of fealty to a maximum leader. They're a partnership between independent parties and they break up if one of the parties feels that it can't realize its aims anymore. That happened before '83 and it happened afterwards.

The coalition between the CDU and the FDP broke down in 1966 because of disagreements in regard to economic questions and was replaced by a grand coalition. In the next election in 1969, the FDP lost about a third of its votes but switched its coalition partner, forming a government with the SPD.

In 1983, the FDP disagreed with the SPD in important social and economic questions with the SPD. Schmidt had too much trouble with his own party because of the Pershing missiles to be an effective leader who could get the left wing of his own party under control. So the FDP decided to switch coalition partners again since it couldn't realize its political aims with the SPD. Half a year later there were early elections to give the voters the possibility to decide. In this election FDP campaigned for a coalition with the CDU. The CDU won 48,8% and the FDP 7% of the vote (a 30% loss), giving the coalition a majority of 55,8% of the votes.

A part of the members and the voters of the FDP left the party since they didn't like the switch away from the FDP. The majority of the party was in favour of the switch. And the majority of all voters were in favour of the new coalition.

I call that democracy.
13:13 September 30, 2009 by astonysh
Carl46 - I don't know how the CSU/CDU and the FDP will work together, but it's worth a try.

They were in power together for 16 years from 1982 to 1998. If you want a fact check on what they achieved together (or otherwise) there is plenty on record. One of the more interesting statistics was the then record high postwar figure for unemployment.

That we will get anything different this time depends upon accepting the voodoo doctrine of Westerwelle that by somehow cutting the amount of tax people pay (actually this probably means the top earners pay, I doubt whetheer they are too bothered about people earning 3,000 Euro a month), government revenues will actually rise. Check out the rise in the American deficit under Bush if you want to believe that (I have seen one estimate that 2 trillion dollars of the current American deficit is due to those tax cuts).

And for those correspondents on here quoting Thatcher in the UK - I lived in the North of England throughout the first nine years that she was in power. Unemployment in Manchester when she came to power was 4%. When I left in 1988 the figure had risen to 18% (and that figure was lower than that for Liverpool or Newcastle for example). So much for necessary changes to make the economy work being put in place!
13:19 September 30, 2009 by thefirelane
depends upon accepting the voodoo doctrine of Westerwelle that by somehow cutting the amount of tax people pay, government revenues will actually rise…
How about instead of calling something "voodoo" you actually look into it. It's perfectly rational and has been demonstrated numerous times. There is indeed a 'sweet spot' with tax rates and revenues... just like anything else. Is it also "voodoo" that when you raise the price of a product, you can make less profit? How could that be?! After all, you are raising the price, therefore more profit, right?!

Of course, the answer is, when a price is higher, less of a product is sold, even if the ones that are sold are making more profit. The same principle applies to tax... lower taxes = more production = more revenue
Check out the rise in the American deficit under Bush if you want to believe that
You seem to be confused between tax revenue and budget deficits, this doesn't lend to your credibility.
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