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Business confidence hits 10-month high

Published: 22 Feb 13 10:58 CET | Print version
Online: http://www.thelocal.de/money/20130222-48131.html

German business confidence rose to the highest level for 10 months in February, data showed on Friday, amid growing optimism that Europe's top economy has put the worst of the eurozone debt crisis behind it.

The Ifo institute's closely watched business climate index for Europe's top economy rose to 107.4 points in February - the highest reading since April 2012 - from 104.3 points a month earlier.

Economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires had been pencilling in a more modest rise to 14.7 points.

"The German economy is regaining momentum," said Ifo president Hans-Werner Sinn.

"Satisfaction with the current business situation continued to grow. Survey participants also expressed greater optimism about their future business perspectives," Sinn said.

Ifo calculates its headline index on the basis of companies' assessments of their current business and the outlook for the next six months.

The sub-index measuring current business rose to 110.2 points in February from 108.1 points in January. And the outlook sub-index four whole points to 104.6 points, its highest reading since July 2011.

Analysts said the renewed surprisingly strong rise in the Ifo index suggests that the dip in the German economy at the end of last year - when falling exports caused gross domestic product to contract by 0.6 percent - will be short-lived.

"The wow effect. Nothing seems to be able to stop German business optimism," said ING Belgium economist Carsten Brzeski.

"The evidence is increasing that the contraction in the fourth quarter has been a one-off which never felt anything near a recession," the expert said.

With the improved outlook for the US and Chinese economies - two of Germany's biggest export markets - "prospects for German exporters are clearing," Brzeski said.

"While most other eurozone countries are moaning under the burdens of reforms, austerity and recession, the German economy continues playing in a league of its own," he said.

But Jennifer McKeown at Capital Economics was more cautious.

"With worries about the periphery continuing and the still high level of the euro casting a shadow over Germany's export prospects, we think that the recovery will be modest and uneven," she warned.

AFP/mry

What do you think? Leave your comment below.


Your comments about this article:

11:41 February 22, 2013 by smart2012
I think the local forgot to publish yesterday news:

weaker PMI data then exepected..

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/guest_commentary/2013/02/21/Eurozone_PMI_Data_Pretty_Miserable_Indeed.html

are you maybe also supporting Verkel propaganda? :-)
13:33 February 22, 2013 by Berlin fuer alles
Dr. Merkyl and Mr. Hyde always get the crony media to publish a conflicting report when one such as yesterday's is published. TL is obviously not a free media portal but one strongly persuaded by the executive wishes of Merkyl and her Bankster buddies.
13:59 February 22, 2013 by smart2012
BfA, please come and visit me in Singapore, i will tell you how it works there. For sure one thing is that there i will pay 18% taxes, not 40% :-)
15:22 February 22, 2013 by schneebeck
I thought you were against austerity measures. This means you are for government spending.

I'm no scientist, call me "Bild brainwashed", even though I don't read it. But most people are thinking, "governments just can't keep on borrowing money, at some point you have to pay for government with existing revenue, or, stop spending".

If you don't want government to stop spending, YOU HAVE TO TAX MORE. You can't just keep on borrowing.

Where is the flaw in the above thinking Mr. Superior Intellect? Here is your chance to let everyone understand the "smart" way of thinking.

First Merkel is not spending enough for you, then she is taxing too much for you. You just criticize this Chancellor no matter what she does. You just don't like conservative ideologies.
17:15 February 22, 2013 by smart2012
Schneeback, 40% of taxes in Germany has nothing to do wih Europe. Second, merkel has screwed up European agenda. I agree with some austerity measures, but not in favor of suffocating a country which everyone knew had problems, expecially Germany which was making the biggest deals with them (am talking about Greece). Third, by doing this merkel has even screwed up German business, hiding the fact that Germany is too export dependent, and biggest customer so far is still Europe.

Merkel has no carisma, no economical knowledge, and that is her problem
18:06 February 22, 2013 by schneebeck
If only18% of German people's incomes were taxed, as in "Singapore", where should Frau Merkel find the remaining 22% to run the German Govt.? Should they borrow that?

Which austerity measures for troubled Euro countries did you agree with?

What percentage of GDP was Greece's debt level two years ago, what is it now? What would have been an acceptable current percentage of GDP for Greece's debt in order to not suffocate a country with problems?

How big could that percentage of GDP have become in your opinion without damaging their economy further?
00:06 February 23, 2013 by smart2012
U r mixing up different things without answering my questions. But if after 3 years of merkel and sarkozy leading the agenda Europe has screwed up, and only after draghi, holland and monti things started to get better, there will be a reason.
00:29 February 23, 2013 by Rischart99
Smart2012, your comments don't add up, just like your maths. You & Hollande want debt mutualisation, but you only want 18% tax. Where does the rest of it come from?

As regards your PMI data France 42.7, Germany 50.1. spot the economic illiterate.

Hollande won't save anything, not even himself.
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