• Germany edition
 
Property prices soar but 'no danger of bubble'
Photo: DPA

Property prices soar but 'no danger of bubble'

Published: 02 Aug 2012 15:58 GMT+02:00
Updated: 02 Aug 2012 15:58 GMT+02:00

Although Germany has traditionally been a country where people rent rather than buy, and there are laws designed to prevent property speculation, the housing market has boomed over the last few years.

The Cologne Institute for Economic Research (IW) said that the average annual price increase of 4.5 percent since 2010 was well above inflation rates.

It examined prices in five large German cities over the last few years, showing a 39 percent increase in Berlin prices between 2003 and 2011 – and a 31 percent increase in Hamburg in the same period. Munich prices have risen by 23 percent in that period, while those in Frankfurt have increased by 14 percent and in Cologne by 10.5 percent.

Munich remains the most expensive German city to buy property, with an average price of €4,200 per square metre. Hamburg comes second at an average of €3,100, then Frankfurt at €2,900. Berlin still lags behind at an average price of €2,200 per square metre.

Yet the institute said in a statement, there was no reason to fear the kind of disastrous property bubble experienced in the US, Ireland and Spain. “Despite extremely low interest rates, there is neither an expansive money-lending tendency, nor a very high rate of purchase and re-sale,” it said.

Rental prices have generally kept pace with purchase prices, the institute said, creating the impression that the increase in price is a consequence of great demand and a sign of the popularity of German cities.

Jörg Krämer, chief economist at Commerzbank said he would not rule out a property bubble, but that the excesses seen elsewhere would take longer to happen in Germany.“The overheating takes longer here than in other countries,” he said.

“Such a bubble would be unlikely here,” said property expert at Deutsche Bank, Jochen Möbert. This was because money was never leant exorbitantly in Germany.

Michael Hüther, director of the IW, said only if huge amounts of foreign money were to pour into the German property market would a bubble be a danger. German banks were much more conservative about lending money to buy property than those in the US or Spain – refusing to do so if the customer has no capital to contribute.

The German tradition of renting rather than buying also insulates the property market from snap decisions, said economist Michael Voigtländer. “In Great Britain the proportion of house ownership is high – there are barely any rental flats,” he said. This means that as soon as interest rates drop, people in the UK and Spain have to buy something while they can, he said.

DPA/The Local/hc

The Local (news@thelocal.de)

Your comments about this article

16:57 August 2, 2012 by zeddriver
Pardon me. But soaring home prices well beyond the rate of inflation IS a bubble. The hard part is predicting whether the bubble will burst or slowly deflate.
17:56 August 2, 2012 by William Thirteen
actually the Instituts der deutschen Wirtschaft just today released a report stating that, in Berlin at least, this is a bubble

http://www.tagesspiegel.de/berlin/iw-zu-immobilien-in-berlin-auf-berliner-wohnungsmarkt-baut-sich-spekulationsblase-auf/6951264.html
23:38 August 2, 2012 by siba
@ William Thirteen: I read your link. Read carefully, it just says that there could be a bubble in Berlin but even if it was one, the prices would fall slightly. Ohters, like the Mieterbund, do not share this opinion and do not see any bubble. However, the perspectives are good and Berlin is growing in population, there is an urgent need of new apartments..., I am afraid there is no bubble. I wish there was one because prices are rising too fast.
06:16 August 3, 2012 by quiller
Of course, it is not a bubble. Now will the choir, please move to the same hymn sheet and we will sing three verses of "I'm for ever blowing bubbles, pretty bubbles in the air". The song can be sung in English, Spanish, Greek, Italian, Portuguese - future language versions such as German will become available as soon as the translation service meets market demand.
Today's headlines
The Local List
Eight expat groups to save you in Germany
Photo: Jan Perlich/Munich RFC

Eight expat groups to save you in Germany

Think you're the only English speaker in your town or region? Think again! The Local List this week runs through eight of the best expat groups and clubs in Germany. READ  

Victims of GDR regime get benefit boost
Former GDR political prisoners Hartmut (l) and Gerda Stachowitz in a East Berlin prison which has stood empty for 20 years. Photo: DPA

Victims of GDR regime get benefit boost

Benefit payments to former political prisoners of ex-communist East Germany (GDR) will be raised to send an "important message" 25 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the government said on Wednesday. READ  

Cabinet agrees cap on city rent rises
Apartments in Leipzig. Photo: DPA

Cabinet agrees cap on city rent rises

Germany's cabinet agreed on Wednesday to cap ballooning property rents in high-demand urban neighbourhoods in a law set to come into force early next year. READ  

Berlin flights disrupted by WWII bomb find
Passengers are delayed at Tegel Airport. Photo: DPA

Berlin flights disrupted by WWII bomb find

UPDATE: The discovery of a US World War II bomb disrupted flights at Berlin’s Tegel Airport on Wednesday afternoon, with no flights taking off or landing for 30 minutes. The bomb has now been defused but later flights are still delayed. READ  

Refugee abuse guards 'nicknamed the SS'
A photo allegedly showing guards abusing one refugee. Photo: DPA/Police

Refugee abuse guards 'nicknamed the SS'

A group of guards who allegedly abused refugees in an asylum centre in western Germany were nicknamed “the SS” after Hitler's stormtroopers, according to one of their colleagues. Photos of guards abusing refugees have sparked a backlash in Germany against security firms. READ  

Nestle wins the food prize no one wants
First prize went to Nestle for its sugary baby food. Photo: Foodwatch

Nestle wins the food prize no one wants

A food watchdog presented Nestle with a prize to avoid on Wednesday for the cheekiest false advertising of the year. The runner-up was a chicken soup with no chicken in a vote of almost 160,000 Germans. READ  

Merkel's VIP jet set to fly soldiers home
One of the two A340 planes which are reserved for the Chancellor and government leaders. Photo: DPA

Merkel's VIP jet set to fly soldiers home

One of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s VIP jets is set to be used to ferry soldiers home who are stuck in Afghanistan, due to ongoing problems with the German military’s transport planes. READ  

German firms top EU lobbying list
Siemens was the highest ranked German company when it came to spending on EU lobbying, according to the register. Photo: DPA

German firms top EU lobbying list

Germany companies are among the biggest spenders when it comes to EU lobbying to influence decision makers in Brussels. There are more German lobbying organizations registered than from any other country in Europe but Belgium. READ  

City starts beer for alcoholics project
Photo: DPA

City starts beer for alcoholics project

A city in western Germany will start a controversial project on Wednesday to employ alcohol and drug addicts to clean the streets in return for beer, tobacco, food and small amounts of cash. READ  

Fault forces Germany to cut Eurofighters
A German Eurofighter. Photo: DPA

Fault forces Germany to cut Eurofighters

A manufacturing fault has been discovered in the troubled Eurofighter Typhoon warplanes, Germany's defence ministry said on Tuesday, announcing it was suspending deliveries of the sophisticated jets. READ  

RECEIVE OUR NEWSLETTER AND ALERTS
Munich
Bavarian independence becomes a reality... (online)
Photo: DPA/Police
National
'Criminals are at work in refugee homes'
Photo: DPA
Business & Money
Immigrants have created how many German jobs?
Photo: DPA
National
Revealed: Germany's military feet of clay
Marks & Spencer
Sponsored Article
Marks and Spencer: Win €300 toward your new autumn wardrobe
Photo: Shutterstock
Society
Quiz: How good is your German?
Photo: DPA
Gallery
Thousands take to Berlin's streets for marathon
Photo: DPA
Society
'Incest should be legal,' says ethics board
Photo: DPA
Gallery
Ten noises that sound very different in German
Photo: DPA
Society
QUIZ: Can you pass the German citizenship test?
Photo: Shutterstock
Gallery
Ten German words you'll never want to hear again
Photo: DPA
Business & Money
JobTalk: All you need to know about working in Germany
National
Share news tips with The Local Germany
Latest news from The Local in Austria

More news from Austria at thelocal.at

Latest news from The Local in Switzerland

More news from Switzerland at thelocal.ch

Latest news from The Local in Denmark

More news from Denmark at thelocal.dk

Latest news from The Local in Spain

More news from Spain at thelocal.es

Latest news from The Local in France

More news from France at thelocal.fr

Latest news from The Local in Italy

More news from Italy at thelocal.it

Latest news from The Local in Norway

More news from Norway at thelocal.no

Latest news from The Local in Sweden

More news from Sweden at thelocal.se

3,169
jobs available
Toytown Germany
Germany's English-speaking crowd