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Torrential rain clouds Germany's future
The foreboding sky above Wackernheim in 2010. Photo: DPA

Torrential rain clouds Germany's future

Published: 16 Feb 2011 12:01 GMT+01:00
Updated: 16 Feb 2011 12:01 GMT+01:00

Germany faces a soggy future of extreme rainfall and flooding in the coming decades caused by climate change, according to the country's leading meteorologists and disaster protection officials.

Already living in a damp climate, Germans should expect a lot more precipitation and extreme weather by 2040, experts from the German Weather Service (DWD), the Federal Environment Agency (UBA), the Federal Agency for Technical Relief (THW) the Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK) warned this week.

"Particularly in coastal areas, the amount of (heavy rainfall and flooding) could double compared to the period between 1960 and 2000," said Paul Becker, the vice president of the DWD.

The four agencies called a joint press conference in Berlin on Tuesday to highlight the dangers climate change could pose to Germany.

"By the year 2100 we expect torrential rains in winter, that is in the months of December, January, and February, across much of Germany," Becker said.

The DWD defined heavy precipitation as a downpour of up to 100 litres of rain per square metre in 24 hours.

The UBA underscored the threat to Germany's infrastructure including water supplies, energy and transportation from extreme weather.

"These findings increase pressure to do something to counteract the unavoidable impact from climate change," said Jochen Flasbarth, head of the UBA. “Protecting our climate should be priority number one.”

Volker Strotmann of the THW said disaster relief agencies were already seeing a surge in incidents related to the changing weather. THW put in twice as many man hours in 2010 compared to 2009.

However, Christoph Unger, president of the BBK, said due to Germany's demographic decline, fewer volunteers would be available to cope in the event of a natural disaster.

"If we want to keep our current high level of civil protection measures in Germany, we'll have to spot changing threats and react beforehand," Unger said.

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13:55 February 16, 2011 by derExDeutsche
First it was supposed to get dramatically warmer. and it didn't. remember the 'hockey stick graph'. but we still had to pay more for energy.

then we we're rarely to see snow again. but we did. and we still had to pay more for energy.

then it was supposed to be Global Weirding, but it didn't. but we still had to pay more for energy.

BUT NOW, NOW we can all believe it will Rain in Germany. Wow. Now this is the absolute TRUTH this time, no? Phew. Finally, took long enough.

Over a lifetime of Bad predictions, and FINALLY an accurate one. Bravo!

"If we want to keep our current high level of civil protection measures in Germany, we'll have to spot changing threats and react beforehand," Unger said.

Danke, Herr Unger. We in Germany are so Proud to Put our EURO behind your Predictions

for instance;

We were Proud to pay more for energy when it was supposed to get warmer, because we wouldn't need as much energy to keep warm. But instead it got colder.

We were Proud to pay more for energy when you said it was going to start 'Weirding'. But it didn't, we've just had cold winters with lots of snow, But we'll keep paying.

AND, FINALLY, we can be PROUD to pay more for energy because it will be soggy in Germany. Bravo!!!
14:00 February 16, 2011 by jbaker
It's Time to buy a boat!
14:02 February 16, 2011 by derExDeutsche
Yeah, Noah's Arc. Mother Gaia is going to wipe out the Non-Believers.
14:31 February 16, 2011 by DOZ
Better start building floating V.W.'s.
14:46 February 16, 2011 by derExDeutsche
Its funny how they always announce that the future will based on the weather of that year.

If it was a soggy year with flooding, Headline will read; 'Torrential Rain for 40 Years'. On a Dry Year it will claim the opposite. Its just whatever sounds believable enough at that moment to keep the Funds flowing.

But they are getting trickier. They don't make Predictions that people can fact check in 2 years time. Now, they want to make you wait 40 years before you can say, 'Told you so!' Ah, Science. Sir Isaac Newton is spinning in his casket.
16:50 February 16, 2011 by Shiny Flu
I love people that don't believe in climate change.

It just shows their inability to understand complex ideas interacting with eachother and the basic concept of 'raising average'.
17:10 February 16, 2011 by kreese
After hurricane Katrina, we were supposed to have many more--we didn't, we had fewer. When you listen to these "experts", follow the money.
17:30 February 16, 2011 by c12dat
Greetings to All,

Why do people who believe in climate change claim to have all the right "results".

If the weather is too hot it is because of climate change.

If the weather is too cold it is because of climate change.

Too much snow because of climate change.

Not enough snow because of climate change.

Too much rain because of climate change.

Not enough rain because of climate change.

Claim to have all the right "results" to push forward their personal/political agenda.
17:34 February 16, 2011 by derExDeutsche
@ Shiny Flu

Obviously, it is all very complex. Its why they ALWAYS get their predictions wrong.

The Met Office in the UK stopped giving seasonal forecasts for just that reason.

It became a laughing stock.

WHY do you think we keep having to change the Name of the 'Global Warming'? Because people understand it so well? No, Because the predictions were WRONG.

and as if, if we sent them more money, we will all be saved? nice dream.

nice work if you can get it, but science it ain't.
21:00 February 16, 2011 by fryintl
it is all a distrac tion. Why not think that since man has been around there have been a few mini ice ages. Why not think the world has had several cycles of Weather change? It is here, and man doesn't always fare so well. When it is time to die we will, good, bad or any weather.

I hate disengenuous people, and I hate these lying people who want us to go back 400 years in science and who would rather see a spotted owl survive than our quality of life. There is a middle ground, seek it.
01:52 February 17, 2011 by DOZ
Actually you have no idea what is around the corner in the way of Weather. Lets just sat the Germany will experience Flooding of Biblical Proportions. It's not nice of Germans' trying to drown their Children. I would suggest Germany start practicing treading water. Down came the rain and washed the Spiders out.
05:15 February 17, 2011 by Clausrock
And the only thing that is certain is...the weather will be changing. HAHA
19:40 February 18, 2011 by Doogle
500 million yrs ago - during an ice age the CO2 level was 12 times higher than today - the planet was not hot, and no runaway global warming - which does not go down well with "warmanistas" and their current global warming/weirding hypothesis.

Climate does indeed change, and has done over the life of the Earth. To believe that Man can alter this fact, whether negatively or positively, suggests extreme naivety or incredible pomposity.

l'll be happy being branded a "denier" or heretic because throughout history heretics have stood up against dogma based on bigotry or vested interests.
00:06 February 19, 2011 by DrGideonPolya
Just as we turn to top medical scientists in the face of serious illness, so we must take the advice on climate change from top climate scientists, rather than from uncredentialled, climate change denialist politicians, corporate lobbyists and anonymous bloggers.

Thus, for example, consonant with what German scientists are saying, Professor John Holdren (Professor of Environmental Policy at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University; Director of the Woods Hole Research Center; recent Chairman of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and President Obama¦#39;s chief scientific adviser) in a lecture entitled ¦quot;The science of climatic disruption¦quot; has indicated that the number of severe flood events has variously increased 4- to 10-fold around the world since the 1950s and that the energy released from tropical cyclones has doubled over recent decades.

For numerous expert scientist and science-informed opinions on the connection between man-made global warming and increased precipitation (in short, higher temperatures mean more water in the atmosphere), simply Google "climate change and floods".

The bottom line is that Germany (per capita greenhouse gas, GHG, pollution 13 times greater than that of Bangladesh; Google Climate Genocide) should be taking stronger and more urgent action to stop GHG pollution.

Leading climate scientist Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber (Director of Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany) has estimated that for a 67% chance of avoiding a catastrophic 2 degree Centigrade temperature rise (the EU target; would you board a plane if it had a 33% chance of crashing?) the World has to cease CO2 emissions by 2050. ¦quot;All man are created equal¦quot; means that all human beings must be allotted equal shares of CO2 pollution until 2050. This means that high per capita countries such as the US and Australia must reach zero CO2 emissions by 2020 while lower per capita emitter Germany must cease by about 2030.
10:26 February 19, 2011 by yamkin
If it rains we have climate change

If it does not rain we have climate change

If it snows we have climate change

If there is no snow we have climate change

If the sun shines we have climate change

If it is dry we have climate change

If it is mild we have climate change

If it is cold we have climate change

If it is windy we have climate change

If there are floods we have climate change

All of the above has happened at random for hundreds of years, but yet we have climate change. It's big business making loads of money and scaring people as well.
14:34 February 19, 2011 by derExDeutsche
Congratulation, DrGideonPolya.

Science is now a LAUGHING STOCK. and NO AMOUNT od name dropping is going to change that. No Peter, No Paul, No Mary and certainly no Barack, is going to change the FACTS; You, sir, are a FRAUD. Enjoy our Tax dollars now, after 2012 you won't be.

Oh, and by the way; your scientific consensus is a sham, as well.

http://opinion.financialpost.com/2011/01/03/lawrence-solomon-97-cooked-stats/
12:35 February 20, 2011 by DrGideonPolya
Readers of this thread have the not so difficult decision as to which advice to take more seriously on on man-made climate change, that from one of America's top scientists, Germany's top climate scientist, and from Germany's 4 most important climate-related agencies constituted to protect the public good VERSUS variously abusive, uncredentialled, anonymous climate science denialists.
18:08 February 20, 2011 by Doogle
One thing i can say for sure our planet is either going to freeze or melt as the planets temperature is going to fluctuate regardless. No matter how many trillion of euros wasted trying to control the uncontrollable.

According to ice core samples, for the past 400,000 years atmospheric CO2 levels have fluctuated between 200 parts per million (ppm) and 300 ppm. They are now at about 380 ppm. So, what's really got Al Gore and everyone else so up in arms is the recent increase in atmospheric CO2 of 80 ppm, right?

Divide 80 by 1,000,000 and what do you get? You come out with 0.00008

Now, move the decimal point two places to the right to convert the number to a percentage, and you have 0.008%, which is 8/1000ths of 1 percent.

Repeat that number slowly to yourself: EIGHT ONE-THOUSANDTHS OF ONE PERCENT.

So please stop and think for a second here .... How is it possible that a change in the composition of the Earth's atmosphere equal to such an infinitesimally small number can, in and of itself, raise planetary temperatures?

Your common sense should readily tell you and anyone else that it can't. Climate change is a totally natural phenomenon. Our planet has warmed and cooled thousands of times in its history and it will continue to do so. The primary drivers of these changes are cyclical fluctuations in the energy output of the sun, topographic changes to the surface of the Earth that alter weather patterns, and perturbations in the orbit of the Earth around the sun as well as in its angle of rotation. Compared to these things, the burning of fossil fuels by man for a mere 200 years is laughable in its insignificance.

Readers might like to view the following:

http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/lindzen-talk-pdf.pdf
22:34 February 20, 2011 by derExDeutsche
DrGideonPolya can thank himself for the complete lack of credibility 'Science' has earned when it come to the topic of climate.

The opportunity to look seriously at pollution has been completely ruined, and has set the Environmental Movement back 20 years. Anybody with even a wit of ability to think for themselves, knows that this is Business and it Stinks. Isn't it funny that how over the years, the predictions come and go, but the solution always seems to stay the same; More of Your Money.

These 'scientists' will say anything to keep the Grant Money and Government money flowing. Many of them directly or indirectly are linked to International Carbon Trading schemes. Make up your own mind, is right.
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